3) Montana (D, Sen. John Walsh) (Previous: 3)
Steve Daines isn’t Denny Rehberg, John Walsh isn’t Jon Tester, and 2014 is looking a whole lot tougher for Democrats than 2012. That, in a nutshell, explains why Democrats aren’t too optimistic about Montana despite the party’s strong track record of success there. Walsh’s appointment to the Senate in January gives him the benefit of incumbency—sort of—but an internal report from the U.S. Army that the then-adjutant general misused resources has put him on the defensive over his military background, which should be a major strength of his campaign. Just five months into his term, Walsh is clearly the midterm elections’ most endangered incumbent.
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